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MARKETS OUTLOOK: Wheat market absorbs Russian export curbs

机译:市场展望:小麦市场吸收了俄罗斯的出口限制

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摘要

GLOBAL wheat markets have spent most of 2015 to date in retreat from a steep run-up in prices in the final weeks of last year. Many readers may be aware that the main element in that upturn was the decision by fourth largest exporter Russia to curb the too-rapid flow of its once-plentiful milling wheat onto world markets at a time when doubts were rising about the size of its next harvest. As the rouble nosedived with the collapse in value of Russia's crude oil exports and Western sanctions - keepingRussian exports cheap - there did seem a real risk, as the year turned, that too much of its wheat would be snapped up by foreign buyers, leaving its domestic market short and at risk of escalating costs for that most basic staple, bread. Russia is also thought to need more wheat and other cereals for animal feed this seaso as it tries to boost domestic livestock output to replace embargoed meat imports from Europe and the USA.
机译:迄今为止,全球小麦市场在2015年的大部分时间里都从去年最后几周的价格急剧上涨中退缩了。许多读者可能已经意识到,经济增长的主要因素是第四大出口国俄罗斯决定,在人们对其下一个小麦种植规模的怀疑增加之际,遏制其曾经丰富的碾磨小麦过快地流向世界市场。收成。随着卢布因俄罗斯原油出口价格暴跌和西方制裁而下降-保持俄罗斯出口价格便宜-随着一年的过去,确实存在着很大的风险,即外国买家会抢购过多的小麦,从而使俄罗斯国内市场短缺,最基本的主食面包价格有上涨的风险。人们还认为,在此海域,俄罗斯还需要更多的小麦和其他谷物作为动物饲料,因为它试图提高家畜的产量,以取代从欧洲和美国进口的禁运肉类。

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