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Short-term outlook for range-bound prices, stable premiums

机译:区间价格的短期前景,稳定的保费

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摘要

Having spiked down to $1,631.50/tonne after the Greek ‘no’- vote a few weeks ago,prices have rebounded strongly, putting in a ‘V’-shaped recovery in the process. Onthe charts, prices look well placed to push higher, but the fundamentals are not thatstrong, so we would be surprised to see the uptrend continuing. More likely, we feel,is that they will consolidate around the $1,700-1,750/tonne range. Economic data outof Europe, the USA and China has been stronger lately overall, with better Chinesereadings, most importantly, suggesting that the government stimulus measures maybe starting to feed through to the underlying economy.
机译:在几周前希腊“否决”投票后,价格曾飙升至1,631.50美元/吨,价格已强劲反弹,在此过程中呈“ V”形回升。从图表上看,价格看起来不错,可以推高,但基本面并不那么强,因此我们对上升趋势的持续感到惊讶。我们认为,它们更有可能在$ 1,700-1,750 / tonne区间内盘整。总体而言,欧洲,美国和中国的经济数据近期总体表现强劲,最重要的是中国人的阅读情况表明,政府的刺激措施可能已开始渗透到基础经济中。

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