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A decision support system for a multi stakeholder's decision process in a Portuguese National Forest. (Special Issue: Forest Management Decision Support Systems (FORSYS).)

机译:用于葡萄牙国家森林中多利益相关方决策过程的决策支持系统。 (特刊:森林管理决策支持系统(FORSYS)。)

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Aim of study: In this paper, we present a decision support system (DSS) to support decision making where different stakeholders have to generate landscape and forest level strategic plans. We further present an interactive approach that may take advantage of a posteriori preference modelling (i.e. Pareto frontier technique) to facilitate the specification of the levels of achievement of various objectives. Area of study: The approach was applied to one planning cycle of a real world study case, the Leiria National Forest in Portugal. The Leiria National Forest, a managed area of approximately eleven thousand hectares in which 8,679 hectares are even aged stands of maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait) aimed at the production of wood. Material and methods: The interactive approach, at first, tries to generate Pareto efficient frontiers for different objectives. Then, multiple decision makers are involved in the process to seek an agreement towards the definition of a consensual strategic plan. Main results: The system developed in this article integrates an information management subsystem, a module to generate alternative management regimes, growth model routines and a decision module that generates and solves mathematical formulations. It also provides a module to display reports and view the resulting solutions (management plans). We also build the Pareto frontier for different criteria. The results show that the proposed DSS can help solve strategic planning problems subject to sustainable management constraints where people organize themselves and participate jointly to manage their natural resources. Research highlights: The interactive approach facilitates the involvement of multiple stakeholders in the decision making process.
机译:研究目的:在本文中,我们提出了决策支持系统(DSS),以支持不同利益相关者必须制定景观和森林一级战略计划的决策。我们进一步提出了一种交互式方法,该方法可以利用后验偏好建模(即Pareto前沿技术)来促进各种目标实现水平的规范。研究领域:该方法已应用于实际研究案例的一个计划周期,即葡萄牙的莱里亚国家森林。莱里亚国家森林(Leiria National Forest),大约一万一千公顷的管理区域,其中有8,679公顷甚至是用于生产木材的老松(Pinus pinaster Ait)。材料和方法:交互式方法首先尝试为不同目标生成帕累托有效边界。然后,多个决策者参与该过程,以寻求共识性战略计划的定义。主要结果:本文开发的系统集成了一个信息管理子系统,一个用于生成替代管理方案的模块,一个增长模型例程以及一个用于生成和求解数学公式的决策模块。它还提供了一个模块,用于显示报告并查看生成的解决方案(管理计划)。我们还针对不同条件构建了帕累托边界。结果表明,拟议的决策支持系统可以帮助解决受可持续管理约束的战略规划问题,在这些约束下人们可以组织起来并共同参与以管理其自然资源。研究重点:交互式方法促进多个利益相关者参与决策过程。

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