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Optimizing a process-based ecosystem model with eddy-covariance flux measurements: A pine forest in southern France

机译:通过涡度-协方差通量测量优化基于过程的生态系统模型:法国南部的一片松树林

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[1] We design a Bayesian inversion method (gradient-based) to optimize the key functioning parameters of a process-driven land surface model (ORganizing Carbon and Hydrology In Dynamic EcosystEms (ORCHIDEE)) against the combination of prior information upon the parameters and eddy covariance fluxes. The model calculates energy, water, and CO2 fluxes and their interactions on a half-hourly basis, and we carry out the inversion using measurements of CO2, latent heat, and sensible heat fluxes as well as of net radiation over a pine forest in southern France. The inversion method makes it possible to assess the reduction of uncertainties and error correlations of the parameters. We designed an ensemble of inversions with different set ups using flux data over different time periods, in order to (1) identify well-constrained parameters and loosely constrained ones, (2) highlight some model structural deficiencies, and (3) quantify the overall information gained from assimilating each type of CO2 or energy fluxes. The sensitivity of the optimal parameter values to the initial carbon pool sizes and prior parameter values is discussed and an analysis of the posterior uncertainties is performed. Assimilating 3 weeks of half-hourly flux data during the summer improves the fit to diurnal variations, but merely improves the fit to seasonal variations. Assimilating a full year of flux data also improves the fit to the diurnal cycle more than to the seasonal cycle. This points out to the key importance of timescales when inverting parameters from high-frequency eddy-covariance data. We show that photosynthetic parameters such as carboxylation rates are well-constrained by the carbon and water fluxes data and get increased from their prior values, a correction that is corroborated by independent measurements at leaf scale. In contrast, the parameters controlling maintenance, microbial and growth respirations, and their temperature dependencies cannot be robustly determined. The CO2 flux data could not discriminate between the different respiration terms. At face value, all the parameters controlling the surface energy budget can be safely determined, leading to a good model-data fit on different timescales.
机译:[1]我们设计了一种贝叶斯反演方法(基于梯度),以根据参数和涡动协方差通量。该模型每半小时计算一次能量,水和CO2通量以及它们之间的相互作用,然后我们使用测量CO2,潜热和显热通量以及南部松林上的净辐射量进行反演法国。反演方法可以评估参数不确定性和误差相关性的降低。我们使用不同时间段的通量数据设计了具有不同设置的反演集合,以便(1)识别约束良好的参数和约束宽松的参数,(2)突出一些模型结构缺陷,以及(3)量化总体吸收每种类型的CO2或能量通量获得的信息。讨论了最佳参数值对初始碳库大小和先前参数值的敏感性,并对后验不确定性进行了分析。在夏季吸收3周的半小时通量数据可以改善对日变化的拟合,但只能改善对季节变化的拟合。吸收整整一年的通量数据,比起季节性周期,还可以更好地适应日循环。这指出了在从高频涡旋协方差数据中反转参数时,时标的关键重要性。我们表明,光合作用参数(例如羧化速率)受到碳和水通量数据的严格约束,并且比其先前值有所增加,这一校正得到叶尺度独立测量的证实。相反,不能可靠地确定控制维持,微生物和生长呼吸及其温度依赖性的参数。二氧化碳通量数据无法区分不同的呼吸条件。从表面上看,可以安全地确定控制表面能收支的所有参数,从而在不同的时间尺度上获得良好的模型数据。

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