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首页> 外文期刊>Geophysics: Journal of the Society of Exploration Geophysicists >Probabilistic lithofacies prediction from prestack seismic data in a heterogeneous carbonate reservoir
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Probabilistic lithofacies prediction from prestack seismic data in a heterogeneous carbonate reservoir

机译:非均质碳酸盐岩储层叠前地震数据的概率岩相预测

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摘要

We mapped probabilities of lithology and fluid based on seismic and well observations in a heterogeneous carbonate reservoir of the Sichuan Basin, southwest China, thus characterizing the reservoir complexity and identifying the potential sweet spot. Rock physical analysis showed that the presence of a vuggy-fracture porosity system combined with the fluids' effect complicate the elastic responses of heterogeneous carbonates. This also gives physical insight into how the elastic properties of different lithofluid classes can be distinguished. With the application of Bayesian linearized amplitude variation with offset inversion, we found that the posterior distribution of P- and Swave velocities were reliably extracted, whereas the inverted density tended to show high uncertainty due to a lack of wide angle data in the migrated seismic gathers. Finally, a Bayesian approach was implemented to propagate uncertainty from prestack seismic data to lithofluid classes in an integrated framework. The gas-carbonate predictions with high posterior probabilities were consistent with well observations at the well location and the present geological continuity. The probability distributions for the anhydrite, limestone, and dolostone were essential to understand the reservoir architecture and delineate the reservoir heterogeneities. We also ascertained that the uncertainty of lithofacies prediction is determined by the uncertainty of seismic inversion as well as the uncertainty of the link between lithofacies to their corresponding elastic responses.
机译:我们基于地震和油井观测资料绘制了中国西南部四川盆地非均质碳酸盐岩储层的岩性和流体概率图,从而表征了储层的复杂性并确定了潜在的甜点。岩石物理分析表明,孔洞-裂缝孔隙系统的存在与流体的作用相结合,使非均质碳酸盐的弹性响应变得复杂。这也为如何区分不同岩石流体类别的弹性特性提供了物理见解。通过应用带偏移反演的贝叶斯线性振幅变化,我们可以可靠地提取出P波和S波速度的后验分布,而由于迁移的地震道中缺少广角数据,因此反演密度倾向于表现出较高的不确定性。最后,采用贝叶斯方法在集成框架中将不确定性从叠前地震数据传播到岩石流体类别。具有较高后验概率的碳酸盐岩预测与在井位处的井观测以及当前的地质连续性是一致的。硬石膏,石灰石和白云岩的概率分布对于理解储层构造和描述储层非均质性至关重要。我们还确定,岩相预测的不确定性取决于地震反演的不确定性以及岩相与其相应弹性响应之间联系的不确定性。

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