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首页> 外文期刊>European journal of epidemiology >The ongoing tyranny of statistical significance testing in biomedical research.
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The ongoing tyranny of statistical significance testing in biomedical research.

机译:生物医学研究中正在进行的统计显着性检验专制。

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摘要

Since its introduction into the biomedical literature, statistical significance testing (abbreviated as SST) caused much debate. The aim of this perspective article is to review frequent fallacies and misuses of SST in the biomedical field and to review a potential way out of the fallacies and misuses associated with SSTs. Two frequentist schools of statistical inference merged to form SST as it is practised nowadays: the Fisher and the Neyman-Pearson school. The P-value is both reported quantitatively and checked against the alpha-level to produce a qualitative dichotomous measure (significantonsignificant). However, a P-value mixes the estimated effect size with its estimated precision. Obviously, it is not possible to measure these two things with one single number. For the valid interpretation of SSTs, a variety of presumptions and requirements have to be met. We point here to four of them: study size, correct statistical model, correct causal model, and absence of bias and confounding. It has been stated that the P-value is perhaps the most misunderstood statistical concept in clinical research. As in the social sciences, the tyranny of SST is still highly prevalent in the biomedical literature even after decades of warnings against SST. The ubiquitous misuse and tyranny of SST threatens scientific discoveries and may even impede scientific progress. In the worst case, misuse of significance testing may even harm patients who eventually are incorrectly treated because of improper handling of P-values. For a proper interpretation of study results, both estimated effect size and estimated precision are necessary ingredients.
机译:自从将其引入生物医学文献以来,统计显着性检验(缩写为SST)引起了很多争论。本文的目的是回顾生物医学领域常见的SST错误和滥用,并探讨摆脱S​​ST相关错误和滥用的潜在方法。如今,实践中的两个统计学常识学校合并为SST:Fisher学校和Neyman-Pearson学校。 P值既可以定量报告,也可以与alpha值进行对照以产生定性的二分法(显着/不显着)。但是,P值会将估计的效果大小与其估计的精度混合在一起。显然,不可能用一个数字来衡量这两件事。为了对SST进​​行有效的解释,必须满足各种假设和要求。我们在这里指出其中四个:研究规模,正确的统计模型,正确的因果模型以及没有偏见和混淆。有人指出,P值可能是临床研究中最容易被误解的统计概念。就像在社会科学中一样,即使在数十年来反对SST的警告之后,SST的专制仍然在生物医学文献中非常普遍。 SST的普遍滥用和专制威胁着科学发现,甚至可能阻碍科学进步。在最坏的情况下,滥用显着性检测甚至可能伤害由于不正确地处理P值而最终被错误治疗的患者。为了正确解释研究结果,估算的效应量和估算的精度都是必不可少的要素。

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