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Temporal dynamics of European brown hare syndrome infection in Northern Italian brown hares (Lepus europaeus)

机译:欧洲北部意大利野兔(Lepus europaeus)的欧洲野兔综合症感染的时间动态

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The progressive decline in the hare population across Europe has been associated with the occurrence of European brown hare syndrome (EBHS), a highly contagious disease considered endemic in all European countries. This study aimed to evaluate the in-field temporal dynamics of European brown hare syndrome virus (EBHSV) infection in wild European brown hares (Lepus europaeus) and to test the influence of population density on EBHS seroprevalence. A total of 512 blood samples were collected from free ranging hares captured for restocking in seven different areas of the province of Brescia (Northern Italy) during seven consecutive years (2006-2013) and tested using a competitive ELISA. A generalized linear mixed model estimated the yearly effects of population density on EBHS prevalence. Of the 512 tested, 344 (67.2 %) tested positive for EBHSV antibodies, with the annual seroprevalence ranging from 94.3 to 35.8 %. The prevalence was 3.303 times higher in areas with a density of over 15 hares/km(2) and declined over the years. The results indicate the ongoing transmission of the virus in the tested brown hare population. Since the eradication of EBHS in a wild population is not feasible, a strategy aimed at promoting the endemic stability of the virus through density-dependent mechanisms could be applied; however, this seems more difficult in practice than in theory and would most likely require a very high density of brown hares
机译:欧洲野兔种群的逐渐减少与欧洲褐兔综合症(EBHS)的发生有关,后者是一种在所有欧洲国家都普遍流行的高度传染性疾病。这项研究旨在评估欧洲野兔欧洲野兔(Lepus europaeus)中欧洲野兔综合症病毒(EBHSV)感染的时空动态,并测试种群密度对EBHS血清阳性率的影响。连续七年(2006年至2013年)从布雷西亚省(意大利北部)的七个不同地区采集的自由放养的野兔总共采集了512个血液样本,并使用竞争性ELISA法进行了测试。一个广义的线性混合模型估计了人口密度对EBHS患病率的年度影响。在512例测试中,有344例(67.2%)的EBHSV抗体呈阳性,年度血清阳性率在94.3%至35.8%之间。在密度超过15公顷/ km(2)的地区,患病率高出3.303倍,并且多年来呈下降趋势。结果表明,该病毒正在被测试的褐兔种群中持续传播。由于在野生种群中消除EBHS是不可行的,因此可以采用旨在通过依赖密度的机制来提高病毒的地方稳定性的策略。但是,这在实践中似乎比理论上更困难,并且很可能需要非常高密度的棕兔。

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