Morbidity and suicide mortality following sick leave in relation to changes of social insurance regulations in Sweden

摘要

Backgrounds: Stricter regulations including time limits for sick leave have been introduced in Sweden in 2008, which might have resulted in higher morbidity in those on longer sick-leave spells after the introduction. This study aimed to examine (i) the association between all-cause and diagnosis-specific sickness absence and sick-leave duration with subsequent morbidity and suicide mortality and (ii) differences in socio-demographics and morbidity in individuals on sickness absence regarding changes of social insurance regulations. Methods: A population-based prospective study was conducted of two cohorts of individuals who lived in Sweden, aged between 20 and 64 years at 31 December 2005 (n = 4 477 678) and at 31 December 2008 (n = 4 500 400), respectively. Each of the cohorts was followed regarding inpatient healthcare and suicide. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals were estimated by Cox regression models. Results: In the multivariate analyses, all-cause and diagnosis-specific sickness absence and sick-leave duration showed higher HRs for inpatient care and suicide in both cohorts (range of HR: 1.10-2.59). HRs of inpatient care and suicide among individuals with mental sickness absence 2009 were reduced more after controlling for morbidity-related covariates, than such sickness absence in 2006. Individuals with mental and somatic sickness absence and sickness absence > 180 days in 2009 had higher HRs of somatic inpatient care than those on sickness absence in 2006. Conclusions: Diagnosis-specific sickness absence and long-term sickness absence in 2009 might be associated with more severe morbidity or work incapacity than in 2006 due to the stricter regulations.