Parameterization of soil properties for a model of topographic controls on shallow landsliding: application to Rio de Janeiro

摘要

A key problem in the use of physically based models of landslide hazards is how to parameterize the representation of soil properties. We applied a physically based model for the topographic control on shallow landsliding (SHALSTAB) to two catchments in Rio de Janeiro to investigate the accuracy of model results in relation to parameterization of soil properties. In so doing, we address the relevance of values derived from laboratory tests to the field problem, as well as the trade-offs inherent in model parameterization. We ran the model for all combinations of reasonable cohesion, bulk density, and friction angle values and compared model predictions to mapped landslides scars. We rank sorted model performance through the proportion of the total area of landslide scars correctly predicted as potentially unstable. Application of the model to an area where soil properties are not well known can be based on either a standard parameterization that emphasizes topographic controls, or on local calibration of soil parameters against a map of known landslide locations. Our analysis suggests that, in general, acquisition of high-quality digital elevation models (DEMs) is more important than generation of spatially detailed soil property values for reconnaissance level assessment of shallow landslide hazards.