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Asymptotics for garch squared residual correlations

机译:残差平方相关的渐近性

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We develop an asymptotic theory for quadratic forms of the autocorrelations of squared residuals from a GARCH (p,q) model. Denoting by r_n(k), k >=1, these autocorrelations computed from a realization of length n, we show that the statistic n(r_n(i_1),....,r_n(i_K))D_n~(-1) (r_n(i_1),....,r_n(i_k))~T, where D_n is a matrix compound from the data, converges to the chi-square distribution with K degrees of freedom for any 1 <= i_n < … < i_k. Our results are valid under weak assumptions on the innovations and model coefficients that admit that arbitrary low-order moments of the observations can be infinite. The matrix D_n and its asymptotic limit D depend on the distribution of the innovations. A small simulation study illustrates the theory and shows, in particular, that using the matrix D computed under the assumption of normal innovations may lead to incorrect conclusions if the innovations have a different distribution.
机译:我们为GARCH(p,q)模型的平方残差的自相关的二次形式开发了一种渐近理论。从长度n的实现计算出这些自相关,以r_n(k)表示,k> = 1,我们表明统计量n(r_n(i_1),....,r_n(i_K))D_n〜(-1) (r_n(i_1),....,r_n(i_k))〜T,其中D_n是数据中的矩阵化合物,对于任何1 <= i_n <…<我知道。在对创新和模型系数的弱假设下,我们的结果是有效的,这些假设承认观测值的任意低阶矩可能是无限的。矩阵D_n及其渐近极限D取决于创新的分布。小型的仿真研究证明了这一理论,并特别表明,如果创新具有不同的分布,则使用在常规创新的假设下计算出的矩阵D可能会得出错误的结论。

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