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Do sunspots matter when sport market equilibria are unique?

机译:当体育市场均衡独特时,黑子有关系吗?

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The purpose of this note is to clarify the relationship between the uniqueness of spot market equilibria and the existence of sunspot equilibria. The framework chosen is a standard, two period, competitive change economy with sunspot-dependent real assets. There is no uncertainty except for sunspots. It is demonstrated by an example with Cobb-Douglas preferences and numeraire assets that sunspot equilibria exist, even though spot market equilibria are unique for all distributions of ex-post endowments that can be reached by using ex-ante asset trade. hence our example demonstrates that the existence of sunspot equilibria does not necessarily rely on an argument based on the multiplicity of spot market equilibria. This is remarkable since sunspot equilibria have often been identified with perfect foresight equilibria where agents' expectations over multiple spot market equilibria are coordinated by some exogenous random event: the sunspot. Clearly sunspots can be used as a coordination device of expectations, but from a more general perspective sunspot equilibria are any equilibria in which the equilibrium allocation depends on some exogenous random event. Our example demonstrates that the latter may well be the case without the former.
机译:本文的目的是阐明现货市场均衡的独特性与黑子均衡的存在之间的关系。选择的框架是一个标准的,两阶段的,竞争性的变革经济,具有依赖黑子的真实资产。除黑子外没有其他不确定性。一个具有Cobb-Douglas偏好和资产负债资产的例子表明,黑子均衡存在,即使现货市场均衡对于事后捐赠可以通过事前资产交易实现的所有分配都是唯一的。因此,我们的例子表明,黑子均衡的存在并不一定依赖于基于现货市场均衡多重性的论点。这是很了不起的,因为黑子均衡通常被认为是具有完美的预见均衡,即代理商对多个现货市场均衡的期望是由一些外在的随机事件来协调的:黑子。显然,黑子可以用作期望的协调手段,但从更一般的角度来看,黑子均衡是指平衡分配取决于某些外生随机事件的任何均衡。我们的例子表明,后者可能是没有前者的情况。

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