Spatial and temporal variability of the daily rainfall regime in Catalonia (northeastern Spain), 1950-2000

摘要

Spatial and temporal patterns in the daily rainfall regime of Catalonia (northeastern Spain) recorded for the 1950-2000 period are analysed from several points of view, including the irregularity of the time series in terms of entropy, the Mann-Kendall test for time trends, a principal component analysis (PCA), an average linkage (AL) clustering algorithm and, finally, a power spectrum analysis, which includes a comparison of white-noise and Markovian red-noise hypotheses. The analyses are based on three monthly variables derived from the amounts recorded on a daily basis: the average daily rainfall and the standard deviation of the daily rainfall for each month, together with the corresponding coefficient of variation. The joint spatial-temporal variability is manifested by the irregularity index, which is characterized by relevant values in all cases and gradients from the north (Pyrenees and Pre-Pyrenees mountain ranges) to the south (Ebro Valley) and to the Mediterranean coast. The interpretation of the factor scores derived from the PCA and of the clusters obtained from the AL algorithm also describes the complex spatial distribution of the daily rainfall regime, given that the effects of atmospheric circulation patterns on rainfall regimes are conditioned by the complex orography of Catalonia and its proximity to the Mediterranean Sea. The factor loadings associated with the PCA also suggest a distinction between hot, cold and mild seasons. Finally, it is worth noting that monthly series are usually accompanied by white background noise and, in a few cases, signs of Markovian behaviour and some significant periodicities, which are generally of less than 10 months and which change from one cluster to another.