首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Biometeorology: Journal of the International Society of Biometeorology >Reconstructing dry and wet summers in SE Slovenia from oak tree-ring series.
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Reconstructing dry and wet summers in SE Slovenia from oak tree-ring series.

机译:从橡树环系列重建斯洛文尼亚SE的干燥和潮湿的夏天。

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摘要

We present a reconstruction of the June weather conditions in SE Slovenia from 1497 to 2003 based on the De Martonne aridity index (AI). The AI were derived from oak (Quercus spp.) tree-ring series of living trees and historic wood, which exhibited a clear response to June precipitation (positive) and temperature (negative). In the reconstructed AI time series we classified negative and positive deviations from the mean as strong (+/-1.28 SD) or extreme (+/-1.645 SD), and thus identified 50 years with a likely dry and hot June, as well as 40 years with a likely wet and cool June. Historical sources and chronicles were used to validate the AI reconstruction in the pre-instrumental period before 1896. The years 1501, 1540, 1546, 1616, 1718, 1788, 1822, 1834, 1839 and 1841, with extreme or strong negative AI deviations, are mentioned in Slovenian chronicles because of crop failures, droughts or extremely hot summers. The years 1691, 1705, 1798, 1799 and 1847, with extreme or strong positive AI deviations, are mentioned as years with a cool and rainy summer. We discuss the relevance of June weather conditions for the growth of plants in the region between the Alps, the Mediterranean and the continental Pannonian lowland, and the possible changes due to the current climate change scenario.
机译:我们根据De Martonne干旱指数(AI),介绍了1497年至2003年6月斯洛文尼亚东南部天气状况的重建情况。 AI来源于橡树(Quercus spp。)年轮系列的活树和历史木,它们对六月的降水(正)和温度(负)表现出明显的响应。在重建的AI时间序列中,我们将与平均值的负偏差和正偏差分类为强(+/- 1.28 SD)或极端(+/- 1.645 SD),从而确定了50年可能是炎热干燥的六月,以及40年,可能是六月的阴凉潮湿。历史资料和历史记录被用来验证1896年前的仪器前AI重建。1501、1540、1546、1616、1718、1788、1822、1834、1839和1841年,AI出现极端或强烈的负偏差,斯洛文尼亚纪事中提到的原因是作物歉收,干旱或夏季非常炎热。有极端或强烈的AI偏差的1691、1705、1798、1799和1847年被称为夏季凉爽多雨的年份。我们讨论了6月天气条件对阿尔卑斯山,地中海和潘诺尼亚大陆低地之间区域植物生长的相关性,以及由于当前气候变化情景而可能产生的变化。

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