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Climatology and trends in the forcing of the stratospheric ozone transport

机译:平流层臭氧传输强迫的气候学和趋势

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A thorough analysis of the ozone transport was carried out using the Transformed-Mean Eulerian (TEM) tracer continuity equation and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis (ERA-40). In this budget analysis, the chemical net production term, which is calculated as the residual of the other terms, displays the correct features of a chemical sink and source term, including location and seasonality, and shows good agreement in magnitude compared to other methods of calculating ozone loss rates. This study provides further insight into the role of the eddy ozone transport and underlines its fundamental role in the recovery of the ozone hole during spring. The trend analysis reveals that the ozone hole intensification over the 1980??"2001 period is not solely related to the trend in chemical losses, but more specifically to the balance between the trends in chemical losses and ozone transport. That is because, in the Southern Hemisphere from October to December, the large increase in the chemical destruction of ozone is balanced by an equally large trend in the eddy transport, associated with a small increase in the mean transport. This study shows that the increase in the eddy transport is characterized by more poleward ozone eddy flux by transient waves in the midlatitudes and by stationary waves in the polar region. Overall, this study makes clearer the close interaction between the trends in ozone chemistry and ozone transport. It reveals that the eddy ozone transport and its long-term changes are an important natural mitigation mechanism for the ozone hole. This work also underlines the need for diagnostics of the eddy transport in chemical transport models used to investigate future ozone recovery.
机译:使用变换均值欧拉(TEM)示踪剂连续性方程和欧洲中距离天气预报中心(ECMWF)重新分析(ERA-40)对臭氧传输进行了全面分析。在此预算分析中,化学净生产项(计算为其他项的残差)显示了化学汇和源项的正确特征,包括位置和季节性,并且与其他方法相比,在数量上显示出良好的一致性计算臭氧损失率。这项研究提供了对涡旋臭氧传输作用的进一步了解,并强调了其在春季臭氧空洞恢复中的基本作用。趋势分析表明,1980-2001年期间臭氧空洞的加剧不仅与化学损失的趋势有关,而且更具体地与化学损失和臭氧迁移趋势之间的平衡有关。南半球从10月到12月,臭氧化学破坏的大幅度增加与涡流的同样大的趋势相抵消,而平均速度的小幅增加也伴随着这一研究。总的说来,这项研究使臭氧化学趋势与臭氧传输之间的紧密相互作用更加清楚,这表明涡旋臭氧的传输及其长时程长期变化是臭氧空洞的重要自然缓解机制,这项工作还强调了对诊断涡流的必要性。用于研究未来臭氧回收的化学迁移模型。

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