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Analysis of determinations of the distance between the sun and the galactic center

机译:太阳与银河系中心之间距离的确定分析

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The paper investigates the question of whether or not determinations of the distance between the Sun and the Galactic center R_0 are affected by the so-called "bandwagon effect", leading to selection effects in published data that tend to be close to expected values, as was suggested by some authors. It is difficult to estimate numerically a systematic uncertainty in R_0 due to the bandwagon effect; however, it is highly probable that, even if widely accepted values differ appreciably from the true value, the published results should eventually approach the true value despite the bandwagon effect. This should be manifest as a trend in the published R_0 data: if this trend is statistically significant, the presence of the bandwagon effect can be suspected in the data. Fifty two determinations of R_0 published over the last 20 years were analyzed. These data reveal no statistically significant trend, suggesting they are unlikely to involve any systematic uncertainty due to the bandwagon effect. At the same time, the published data show a gradual and statistically significant decrease in the uncertainties in the R_0 determinations with time.
机译:本文研究的问题是,太阳与银河系中心R_0之间的距离确定是否受到所谓的“带动效应”的影响,从而导致已发布数据中的选择效应趋向于接近预期值,例如是一些作者建议的。由于潮流效应,很难从数字上估计R_0的系统不确定性。但是,很有可能的是,即使被广泛接受的价值与真实价值明显不同,尽管出现了潮流效应,但已公布的结果最终仍应接近真实价值。这应该在已发布的R_0数据中显示为趋势:如果该趋势具有统计显着性,则可以在数据中怀疑带行效应的存在。分析了过去20年中发布的52个R_0的测定结果。这些数据没有显示出统计学上的显着趋势,表明由于潮流效应,它们不太可能涉及任何系统的不确定性。同时,已发布的数据显示R_0测定的不确定性随着时间的推移在统计上逐渐减少。

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