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A turn for the worse

机译:情况恶化

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OLEFINS AND polyolefins pricing may have rebounded in recent weeks,but there are few who are confident of prices and margins surpassing the highs that were experienced late last year and early this year.The fourth quarter of 2004 was probably the high point of the current cycle and margins are likely to move steadily downhill to reach uncharted depths in 2009,analysts fear.A recent chemical investment outlook report will make difficult reading for the Asian petrochemical producers,with a gloomy picture painted for product spreads as the industry once again builds capacity ahead of demand.According to the report,by a major European investment bank,substantial new ethylene capacity due in China and the Middle East between now and 2009 could create an oversupply situation which,it claims,could be worse than in previous cycles.
机译:烯烃和聚烯烃的价格在最近几周可能已经反弹,但是很少有人对价格和利润超过去年年底和今年年初的高点有信心。2004年第四季度可能是当前周期的最高点分析师担心,利润率可能会稳步下坡,在2009年达到前所未有的深度。近期的化工投资前景报告将使亚洲石化生产商难以阅读,随着行业再次建立产能,产品散布的前景一片黯淡根据该报告,欧洲一家大型投资银行表示,从现在到2009年,中国和中东将有大量新的乙烯产能出现,这可能会造成供过于求的局面,据称这可能比以前的周期还要糟糕。

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