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首页> 外文期刊>Health Physics: Official Journal of the Health Physics Society >Radon and the risk of cancer mortality--internal Poisson models for the German uranium miners cohort.
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Radon and the risk of cancer mortality--internal Poisson models for the German uranium miners cohort.

机译:氡和癌症死亡率的风险——内部泊松模型对于德国铀矿工队列。

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Uranium mining occurred between 1946 and 1990 at the former Wismut mining company in East Germany. 58,987 male former employees form the largest single uranium miners cohort, which has been followed up for causes of mortality occurring from the beginning of 1946 to the end of 2003. The purpose of this paper is to present the radon exposure related cancer mortality risk based on 20,920 deaths, 2 million person-years, and 6,373 cancers. The latter include 3,016 lung cancers and 3,053 extrapulmonary solid cancers. Internal Poisson regression was used to estimate the excess relative risk (ERR) per unit of cumulative radon exposure in Working Level Months (WLM) for all major sites and for the follow-up period from 1946 to 2003. The simple cohort ERR WLM for lung cancer is 0.20% [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.17%; 0.22%]. The ERR model for lung cancer is linear in radon exposure with exponential effect modifiers that depend on age at median exposure, time since median exposure, and radon exposure-rate. In this model the central estimate of ERR WLM is 1.06% (95% CI: 0.69%; 1.42%) for an age at median exposure of 33 y, a time since median exposure of 11 y, and an exposure-rate of 2.7 WL. This central ERR decreases by 5% for each unit exposure-rate increase. The ERR decreases by 32% with each decade increase in age at median exposure and also decreases by 54% with each decade increase in time since median exposure. The ERR WLM for all extrapulmonary solid cancers combined without effect modification is 0.014% (95% CI: 0.006%; 0.023%). The ERR model for extrapulmonary solid cancer is linear in radon exposure with an exponential effect modifier which depends on age-attained. In this model the central estimate of ERR WLM is 0.040% (95% CI: -0.001%; 0.082%) for an age-attained of 44. The ERR decreases by 37% with each decade increase in age-attained. The highest ERR WLM, after lung, is observed for cancers of the pharynx (0.16%), tongue/mouth (0.045%), and liver (0.04%).
机译:铀矿发生在1946年和1990年之间前在东德Wismut矿业公司。58987名男性前雇员最大的形式单铀矿工群体,一直后导致死亡的发生从1946年初到2003年底。本文的目的是介绍氡基于接触相关的癌症死亡率风险20920人死亡、200万人年和6373年癌症。和3053年肺外固体癌症。泊松回归常被用来估计多余的相对风险(ERR)单位累积氡暴露在工作几个月(WLM)水平所有主要网站和随访期间的1946年到2003年。癌症是0.20%(95%可信区间(CI):0.17%;在氡接触线性指数的影响修饰符,取决于年龄值曝光,平均曝光以来,氡曝光率。犯错的WLM是1.06% (95% CI: 0.69%;33 y的年龄中位数曝光时间平均曝光的11个y,和曝光率2.7王。单位曝光率增加。年龄平均每十年增加32%相互接触,也减少了54%十年以来增加平均曝光。所有肺外的犯错WLM固体癌症结合没有效果修改为0.014%(95% CI: 0.006%;肺外固体癌症是线性的氡曝光指数效应修饰符这取决于age-attained。犯错WLM的中心估计是0.040%(95%置信区间CI:-0.001%;每十年增加犯错减少37%age-attained。观察咽癌(0.16%),舌头/口(0.045%),肝(0.04%)。

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