Picking the ICT technology winners - longitudinal analysis of 21st century technologies based on the Gartner hype cycle 2008-2017: trends, tendencies, and weak signals

摘要

We analyse longitudinal data of the 2008-2017 Gartner hype cycles and key ICT technologies (151 technologies) in the world. In this study, we have calculated six different index analyses. Our analyses use the following index analyses: 1) ranking index analysis; 2) technology power index analysis; 3) better than other technology power index analysis; 4) triangulation index analysis; 5) weak signal analysis; 6) outlayer analysis. These six analyses are novel analyses. We ranked the information from hype cycles giving a rank for every observed technology. Information of calculations is public and open in the internet publications of the Gartner Ltd. We were able to see the top ten technologies: 1) augmented reality; 2) human augmentation; 3) quantum computing; 4) speech recognition; 5) mobile robots; 6) autonomous vehicles; 7) speech-to-speech translation; 8) mesh network sensor; 9) local-aware applications; 10) idea management.