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Relative Goods' Prices, Pure Inflation, and The Phillips Correlation

机译:相对商品价格,纯通货膨胀和菲利普斯相关

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This paper uses a dynamic factor model for the quarterly changes in consumption goods' prices in the United States since 1959 to separate them into three independent components: idiosyncratic relative-price changes, a low-dimensional index of aggregate relative-price changes, and an index of equiproportional changes in all inflation rates that we label "pure" inflation. We use the estimates to answer two questions. First, what share of the variability of inflation is associated with each component, and how are they related to conventional measures of monetary policy and relative-price shocks? Second, what drives the Phillips correlation between inflation and measures of real activity?
机译:本文对1959年以来美国消费品价格的季度变化使用动态因子模型,将其分为三个独立的部分:特有的相对价格变化,总相对价格变化的低维指数和所有通货膨胀率的等比例变化指数,我们称之为“纯”通货膨胀。我们使用估计值来回答两个问题。首先,通货膨胀变化中有哪些份额与各个组成部分相关,它们与常规的货币政策措施和相对价格冲击有何关系?其次,是什么驱动通货膨胀与实际活动指标之间的菲利普斯相关性?

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