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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Climate >Azimuthally Averaged Wind and Thermodynamic Structures of Tropical Cyclones in Global Climate Models and Their Sensitivity to Horizontal Resolution
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Azimuthally Averaged Wind and Thermodynamic Structures of Tropical Cyclones in Global Climate Models and Their Sensitivity to Horizontal Resolution

机译:全球气候模型中热带气旋的方位级平均风和热力学结构及其对水平分辨率的敏感性

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摘要

Characteristics of tropical cyclones (TCs) in global climate models (GCMs) are known to be influenced by details of the model configurations, including horizontal resolution and parameterization schemes. Understanding model-to-model differences in TC characteristics is a prerequisite for reducing uncertainty in future TC activity projections by GCMs. This study performs a process-level examination of TC structures in eight GCM simulations that span a range of horizontal resolutions from 1 degrees to 0.25 degrees. A recently developed set of process-oriented diagnostics is used to examine the azimuthally averaged wind and thermodynamic structures of the GCM-simulated TCs. Results indicate that the inner-core wind structures of simulated TCs are more strongly constrained by the horizontal resolutions of the models than are the thermodynamic structures of those TCs. As expected, the structures of TC circulations become more realistic with smaller horizontal grid spacing, such that the radii of maximum wind (RMW) become smaller, and the maximum vertical velocities occur off the center. However, the RMWs are still too large, especially at higher intensities, and there are rising motions occurring at the storm centers, inconsistently with observations. The distributions of precipitation, moisture, and radiative and surface turbulent heat fluxes around TCs are diverse, even across models with similar horizontal resolutions. At the same horizontal resolution, models that produce greater rainfall in the inner-core regions tend to simulate stronger TCs. When TCs are weak, the radial gradient of net column radiative flux convergence is comparable to that of surface turbulent heat fluxes, emphasizing the importance of cloud-radiative feedbacks during the early developmental phases of TCs.
机译:已知全球气候模型(GCMS)中热带气旋(TCS)的特征受模型配置的细节影响,包括水平分辨率和参数化方案。了解TC特征的模型 - 模型差异是通过GCMS降低未来TC活动预测不确定性的先决条件。该研究在八个GCM模拟中对TC结构进行了处理级别检查,其水平分辨率范围为1度至0.25度。最近开发的面向过程的诊断组用于检查GCM模拟TCS的方位级平均的风和热力学结构。结果表明,模拟TCS的内核风力结构比模型的水平分辨率更强烈地限制,而不是那些TCS的热力学结构。如预期的那样,TC循环的结构变得更加真实,较小的水平网格间距,使得最大风(RMW)的半径变小,并且最大垂直速度发生在中心。然而,RMWS仍然太大,特别是在更高的强度下,风暴中心发生了上升的运动,与观察结果不一致。沉淀,水分和辐射和表面湍流热通量周围的沉淀,水分和辐射和表面湍流热量的分布是多样的,即使跨越具有类似水平分辨率的模型也是多样的。在相同的水平分辨率下,在内核区域中产生更大降雨的模型倾向于模拟更强的TCS。当TCS弱时,净柱辐射磁通收敛的径向梯度与表面湍流热通量的径向梯度相当,强调在TCS的早期发育阶段期间云辐射反馈的重要性。

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