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Part 20: On odds and risk ratios

机译:第20部分:赔率和风险比

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摘要

A recent research article reported as its primary effect measure an adjusted odds ratio (OR) of 0.61 for the association between death from trauma and transport to hospital by helicopter emergency medical services (HEMS) versus ground emergency medical services (GEMS).1 Most people understand that an odds ratio > 1, or unity, denotes a positive association between the risk factor and outcome. When the odds ratio is < 1, most people understand that an inverse association is being reported. Assuming no significant residual systematic bias or random error, we conclude that, based on this analysis, HEMS transport was associated, on average, with less death after traumatic injury than transport by GEMS. However, beyond that, much confusion exists. Should we say HEMS transport was associated with less odds of death? Less risk of death? Less chance of death? In this review, we discuss the use of the OR and how it is calculated, and we give suggestions for its interpretation.
机译:最近的一篇研究文章报道说,其主要效果指标是:直升机紧急医疗服务(HEMS)与地面紧急医疗服务(GEMS)的创伤死亡与运输到医院之间的关联的调整后的优势比(OR)为0.61。1大多数人理解比值比> 1或1表示危险因素与结果之间存在正相关。当比值比小于1时,大多数人都知道正在报告一种反向关联。假设没有显着的残余系统偏差或随机误差,我们得出的结论是,基于该分析,与GEMS转运相比,HEMS转运与创伤后的死亡平均相关。但是,除此之外,还存在很多混乱。我们应该说HEMS运输与死亡几率降低相关吗?死亡风险更低?死亡几率更低?在这篇综述中,我们讨论了OR的用法以及如何计算OR,并提供了有关OR解释的建议。

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