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Becoming sensitive: Males' risk and time preferences after the 2008 financial crisis

机译:变得敏感:男性在2008年金融危机之后的风险和时间偏好

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This paper presents evidence suggesting men's (but not women's) risk and time preferences have systematically become sensitive to local economic conditions since the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2008. Studying longitudinal, nationally representative data for 22,579 Australian-based respondents in up to 11 survey waves from 2002 to 2015, men respond with increased risk aversion and impatience to a rise in their region's unemployment rate - but only since 2008. We find no such relationship for women or before the crisis. This conclusion persists when accounting for (i) fixed effects on the individual, regional, and time level, (ii ) demographics, (iii ) national economic conditions, as well as (iv ) the respondent's employment situation, income, and wealth. Results prevail when employing an instrumental variable approach based on initial industry shares in the respondent's region. Exploring one potential mechanism, higher regional unemployment rates are also linked to men (but not women) being more unhappy since 2008. This 'happiness channel', however, can only partially explain the link between the local unemployment rate and risk preferences. (c) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:本文提出了自2008年全球金融危机(GFC)自2008年以来,人们(但不是女性)风险和时间偏好的证据表明男性(但不是女性)风险和时间偏好。在纵向,全国代表性数据中,在高达11人的澳大利亚的澳大利亚受访者中研究纵向,国家代表性数据。从2002年到2015年的调查波浪,人们的风险厌恶且急于在其地区的失业率上升的增加 - 但只有自2008年。我们没有为妇女或危机面前找到这种关系。在核算(i)对个人,区域和时间级,(ii)人口统计学,(iii)国家经济条件以及(iv)的答复的就业情况,收入和财富时,该结论仍然存在。基于申请地区初始行业股份采用仪器变量方法时,结果普遍存在。探索一个潜在的机制,更高的区域失业率也与自2008年以来的男性(但不是女性)有关。然而,这种“幸福渠道”只能部分地解释当地失业率与风险偏好之间的联系。 (c)2020 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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