All is quiet on the Russian front: ceasefires and the pursuit of legitimacy by self-proclaimed 'republics' in Ukraine

摘要

This paper examines the pursuit of legitimacy by the self-proclaimed "republics" in Ukraine. While these "republics" are illegal, questions of their legitimacy are commonly discussed almost entirely through Weberian rule-conformity. We argue that this one-dimensional view of legitimacy overlooks the rich context of normative aspects of power relationships. If the occupied Donbas is to be reintegrated into Ukraine, it is essential to understand the perceived legitimation of the political institutions in this region. We use David Beetham's framework of legitimacy-consisting of legality, morality, and consent-to analyze the "republics'" pursuit of legitimacy. Our analysis leads to the proposition that while the "republics" are illegal, their supporters' normative perceptions of the right to govern have ascribed more validity to the fake "governments" than what would have been expected from a legal point of view. Additionally, while a ceasefire between the Russian proxies and Ukraine's forces has reduced violence, it has also levied temporal effect on the legitimation of illegitimate institutions. Our treatment of the process of legitimation over time helps us identify potential strategies of delegitimization should DPR and LPR reincorporate with Ukraine-controlled territory. Without dismantling internal perceptions of institutional legitimacy among inhabitants of nongovernment-controlled areas, a re-integration could not be accomplished.