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Connecting the Dots: Reform and Protest, Post-Arab Spring

机译:连接点:改革与抗议,后阿拉伯春天

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摘要

Having largely sat out the 2011 Arab Spring protests, Saudi Arabia and Iran are facing challenges now. Just days after higher fuel prices and a value-added tax introduced under the young Saudi crown prince's ambitious reform program proved unpopular, Saudi King Salman ordered extra pay for government employees and soldiers at a cost of $13.3 billion (EC Jan.5' 18). This week also saw the detention of 11 princes said to be protesting a halt in state payments covering their utility bills. The twists and turns raise wider questions about the Saudi Aramco initial public offering - the timing of which sources say has drifted to first-quarter 2019 from second-half 2018 - namely, just how comfortable will foreign investors be with the possibility of the state backtracking, and how much confidence will they have in the kingdom's underlying stability? The ongoing war in Yemen and this week's threat by Houthi rebels there to shut down Red Sea shipping lanes only add to the uncertainty surrounding the kingdom's investment appeal.
机译:在很大程度上坐落于2011年阿拉伯春季抗议活动,沙特阿拉伯和伊朗现在正面临挑战。在燃料价格上涨之后的几天,曾在杨氏皇冠雄心勃勃的雄心勃勃的改革方案下介绍的增值税被证明不受欢迎,沙特·王萨尔曼以133亿美元的费用为政府雇员和士兵订购了额外的工资(EC 1月5日') 。本周还看到拘留了11名王子所说的倾向于在涵盖其公用事业账单的国家支付中停止。曲折和转向对沙特阿美初级公开发布提出了更广泛的问题 - 消息人士所说的时间从2018年下半年从2019年漂移到2019年第一季度 - 即,外国投资者有多舒适的国家回溯的可能性,他们将在王国的潜在稳定中有多少信心?在阿内文的正在进行的战争和Huouthi Rebels在那里关闭了红海航运公司的威胁,只增加了王国投资上诉的不确定性。

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