Ecological Bases for Sustainable Management of Pochote ( Emphasis Type='Italic'>Ceiba aesculifolia/Emphasis> subsp. Emphasis Type='Italic'>parvifolia)/Emphasis> Through Demographic Analysis

摘要

The Tehuacán-Cuicatlán Valley is one of the areas with the highest biocultural diversity in Mexico. There, the pochote ( Ceiba aesculifolia subsp. parvifolia ) has been used for more than 7000?years, and its seeds are currently consumed and sold in traditional markets. However, the high demand-supply of this resource in regional markets could affect the permanence of the species populations. This study evaluated the state of populations harvested at different intensity levels, their risk, and potential for sustainable use. In the state of Puebla, pochote seeds are mainly commercialized, while in Oaxaca they are directly consumed by households. During 2?years, we censused five populations of the region from permanent 5000?m_(2)plots. We evaluated growth, survival, and fecundity of individual plants of each population and constructed demographic matrix models for calculating population growth rates (λ), viability, and elasticity. Population growth rates in Puebla were λ ??1, while in Oaxaca λ >?1. Permanence of adult trees is the most important demographic aspect for maintaining populations’ growth rates. Viability analyses for 30?years showed that two populations studied are at risk of extinction. In localities where seeds are directly consumed, the populations tolerate harvest rates of nearly 90% of fruits, while in those used for commercialization the populations tolerate lower levels, because of variations in population structure and growth rates. By simulating different harvest rates, we suggest optimal sustainable harvesting. For conserving pochote, monitoring of used populations is crucial. Our current information provide criteria that may be helpful to local authorities and people for making appropriate decisions to obtain benefits from pochote without compromising its populations’ stability.