Evaluation of the effects of Climate Change on Air Transmission Lines, using PLS-CADD Software tools and Hierarchical Analytical Processes (AHP). Case: Paraguay

摘要

Observing the global climatic problem due to the excess of greenhouse gases (GHG) emitted into the atmosphere, mainly Carbon Dioxide CO_2, the lack of commitment of the developed countries to the unrestricted control of the Kyoto protocol, make the situation global climate accelerate the deterioration of the planet; the current energy situation in Paraguay, the results of the National Energy Balance (BEN) prepared by the National Electricity Administration (ANDE) which concluded that there would be power to meet load demand until the year 2035, makes necessary the search of new alternatives for the generation of electric power [1]. The growing increase in the demand for electric power associated with the lack of investments in the areas of distribution and maintenance of the electricity sector. Added to this the difficulties for the construction of new transmission airlines, due to the inconveniences in the release of the easement strip, this raises the difficulty in supplying electricity reliably and continuously to much of the country, especially in the hottest periods, leaving operating close to its capacity limits electrical system. This article seeks to analyze the behavior of the Transmission Lines in the face of the effects of climate change and its consequence with the increase of the ambient temperature and how this would limit the transmission capacity and what would be the most advisable mitigation or adaptation mechanisms under a sustainable vision.