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Evaluation of a cloud cover based model for estimation of hourly global solar radiation in Western Canada

机译:基于云覆盖的云覆盖估算模型,估计加拿大西部的每小时全球太阳辐射

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摘要

Cloud cover based solar radiation models are relatively simple and convenient as the models require the input of cloud cover data which are mostly available from the meteorological stations. In this study, the performance of a cloud cover based solar radiation model (Kasten–Czeplak model) with original or locally fitted coefficients was evaluated for estimating the hourly global solar radiation for four different locations in Western Canada. The average value of R2, mean bias error, and root mean square error are 0.69, ?61.6, and 157.9?W?m?2, respectively, for the model with original coefficients, whereas 0.82, 4.4, 107.1?W?m?2 with locally fitted coefficients. Results show that the Kasten–Czeplak model with locally fitted coefficients satisfactorily estimated the hourly solar radiation of four different locations in Western Canada. Also, the results indicate that the model with original coefficients has very limited accuracy under intermediate cloud cover conditions.
机译:基于云覆盖的太阳辐射模型相对简单,方便,因为模型需要输入大多数气象站的云覆盖数据。 在这项研究中,基于云覆盖的太阳辐射模型(Kasten-cazeplak模型)具有原始或本地装配系数的性能,以估计加拿大西部四个不同地点的每小时全球太阳辐射。 R2,平均偏差误差和根均方误差的平均值为0.69,Δ61.6和157.9?2,对于具有原始系数的模型,分别为型号,而0.82,4.4,107.1?W?M? 2具有局部拟合系数。 结果表明,卡斯滕 - Cazplak模型与本地安装系数令人满意地估计加拿大西部四个不同地点的每小时太阳辐射。 此外,结果表明,在中间云覆盖条件下,具有原始系数的模型非常有限。

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