Impact of ET <sub xmlns='http://www.wiley.com/namespaces/wiley'>0</sub>0 method on the simulation of historical and future crop yields: a case study of millet growth in Senegal

Ramarohetra Johanna; Sultan Benjamin

摘要

ABSTRACT > The reference evapotranspiration (ET <sub>0</sub> ) is an integrated climatic variable from which many crop models derive simulated crop yields. In most of these models, different equations are parameterized leaving the choice of the equation to the user. However, the impact of the choice of the ET <sub>0</sub> equations on crop yield prediction has been little studied. > The present study proposes a sensitivity analysis of the impact of the choice of the ET <sub>0</sub> equation on simulated millet yields using SARRA‐H crop model over 12 Senegalese stations representative of the Sudano‐Sahelian climate conditions of West Africa. > Priestley‐Taylor, a modified Priestley‐Taylor and Hargreaves equations lead to simulated yields up to 19% than those calculated using the Penman‐Monteith equation. Despite high biases in wind speed, among the tested methods, the Penman‐Monteith method remains the most robust to derive ET <sub>0</sub> and yield over the major part of Senegal, Hargreaves equation being more appropriated under dry climates. The choice of ET <sub>0</sub> formulation introduces uncertainties representing 8% of baseline yield regardless of precipitation changes; for wet conditions these uncertainties approach 30% of the overall climate change impact. The choice of ET <sub>0</sub> equation is increasingly important, with local temperature changes out to 4?°C, while extreme changes above 6?°C depend less on the ET <sub>0</sub> equation. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract XMLNS =“http://www.wiley.com/namespaces/wiley”type =“main”> <title type =“main”>抽象</ title> >参考evapotranspiration（et <sub> 0 </ sub>）是一种集成气候变量，许多作物模型导出模拟作物产量。在大多数这些模型中，不同的等式是参数化的，将该等式的选择留给用户。然而，研究了对作物产量预测的ET <Sub> 0 </ sub>方程的影响已经很少。本研究提出了使用Sarra-H作物模型在苏丹诺代表的12个塞内巴尔代表的12个塞内巴尔站的SARRA-H作物模型对模拟小米产量进行敏感性分析。 -Sahelian西非气候条件。 </ p> >普里斯特利 - 泰勒，修改的普利斯特利 - 泰勒和Hargreaves方程导致模拟产量高达19％的百分比，而不是使用Penman-Monteith方程计算的产量。尽管在风速下偏差高，但在测试的方法中，Penman-Monteith方法仍然是派世et <sub> 0 </ sub>的最强大，并且在塞内加尔的主要部分屈服，Hargreaves等式在干燥气候下更拨出。 ET <sub> 0 </ sub>制剂的选择介绍了代表基线产量的8％的不确定性，无论降水变化如何;对于潮湿的条件，这些不确定性方法的占整体气候变化的30％。 ET <sub> 0 </ sub>方程的选择越来越重要，局部温度会改变为4°C，而在6.°C以上的极端变化少于ET <sub> 0 </ sub>方程。。 </ p> </ abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-21026/'>《International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2018年第2期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共13页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Ramarohetra Johanna&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Ramarohetra Johanna;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Sultan Benjamin&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Sultan Benjamin;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>ECOCLIMASOLMontpellier France;</p> <p>Institut de recherche pour le developpement LOCEAN LaboratorySorbonne Universités (UPMC Univ Paris 06)‐CNRS‐IRD‐MNHNParis France;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span><a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/1232.html" title="气候学">气候学;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=evapotranspiration&option=203" rel="nofollow">evapotranspiration;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=climate change&option=203" rel="nofollow">climate change;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=West Africa&option=203" rel="nofollow">West Africa;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=crop model&option=203" rel="nofollow">crop model;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=modelling&option=203" rel="nofollow">modelling;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=uncertainties&option=203" rel="nofollow">uncertainties;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=ET 0&option=203" rel="nofollow">ET 0;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：蒸散;气候变化;西非;作物模型;建模;不确定性;等0; 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href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=麦博儒&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor"> . 麦博儒</a> <span> . 2008</span> </span> </div> </li> </ul> <ul style="display: none;"> <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06120100698861.html">基于作物模型、历史和气象预报数据的作物产量预报方法</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 中国专利： CN109754125A </span> <span> . 2019-05-14</span> </div> </li> <li> <div> <b>2. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06120100445485.html">一种农作物生长态势检测及产量预估方法</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 中国专利： CN109508824A </span> <span> . 2019-03-22</span> </div> </li> <li> <div> <b>3. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130406765451.html">method for increasing yield, growth rate, biomass, vigor, oil content, seed yield, fiber yield, fiber quality, fiber length, photosynthetic capacity, nitrogen use efficiency and / or abiotic stress tolerance of a plant, crop production method, isolated polynucleotide, nucleic acid structure, isolated polypeptide, plant cell, transgenic plant, crop cultivation method and selection method of a transformed plant</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  BR112017003664A2 </span> <span> . 2017-11-28</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：增加产量，生长速率，生物量，活力，含油量，种子产量，纤维产量，纤维质量，纤维长度，光合能力，氮利用效率和/或非生物胁迫耐受性的方法，作物生产方法，分离的多核苷酸，核酸结构，分离的多肽，植物细胞，转基因植物，作物栽培方法和转化植物的选择方法 </span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>4. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130500693319.html">Crop growth simulation program, crop growth simulation method and information processor</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  JP2021144604A </span> <span> . 2021-09-24</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：作物生长仿真程序，作物生长仿真方法和信息处理器 </span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>5. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130403996654.html">Appropriate ingredients to accelerate crop growth and methods to accelerate crop growth or increase crop yield</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  AR109511A2 </span> <span> . 2018-12-19</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：促进作物生长的适当成分和促进作物生长或增加作物产量的方法 </span> </p> </li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> <div class="theme cardcommon" style="overflow: auto;display:none"> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent55">相关主题</h3> <ul id="subject"> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="right rightcon"> <div class="details_img cardcommon clearfix" style="margin-bottom: 10px;display:none;" > </div> </div> </div> <div id="thesis_get_original1" class="downloadBth" style="bottom: 19px;z-index: 999;" onclick="ywcd('0704023003063','4',7,2,1,'',this,24)" 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Impact of ET 00 method on the simulation of historical and future crop yields: a case study of millet growth in Senegal

摘要

Impact of ET ₀0 method on the simulation of historical and future crop yields: a case study of millet growth in Senegal