Surface wind speed: trend and climatology of Brazil from 1980–2014

Gilliland Joshua M.; Keim Barry D.

摘要

ABSTRACT > This study examines the spatial and temporal surface (10 m) wind speed trend characteristics of Brazil during 1980–2014 using two <fi>in situ</fi> and three climate reanalysis datasets. Nonparametric regression is used to understand how mean seasonal and annual wind speeds change over space and time across Brazil. Overall temporal linear trends show that station and reanalysis products exhibit varying seasonal and annual wind speed trends. A geographic examination displays statistically significant (P 0.05) positive (negative) mean wind speed trends for equatorial (southeastern and central) Brazil. Quantile regression is performed to interpret how wind speed changed across different percentiles. Results show that the largest positive and negative spatial wind speed trends occur for the upper percentiles (75 and 95%). The spatial and temporal trends and correlations described could be interconnected to possible changes developing with the location of Intertropical Convergence Zone and South Atlantic Anticyclone over the study region. Results have implications for optimizing renewable wind energy production and development across Brazil. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract XMLNS =“http://www.wiley.com/namespaces/wiley”type =“main”> <title type =“main”>抽象</ title> >本研究检查了空间和时间表面（ 1980 - 2014年使用两种</ Fi>和三个气候再分析数据集，1980 - 2014年巴西风速趋势特征。非参数回归用于了解季节性和年度风速如何在巴西的空间和时间变化程度。总体时间线性趋势表明，站和再分析产品表现出不同的季节性和年度风速趋势。地理检查显示统计上显着的（P <0.05）正（负）巴西的阳性（负面）平均风速趋势。进行量化回归以解释风速如何在不同的百分位中更改。结果表明，上百分位数（75和95％）出现了最大的正和负空间风速趋势。所描述的空间和时间趋势和相关性可以互连，以通过在研究区域中与跨门会聚区和南大西洋抗周围的南大西洋抗岩的位置发展的可能变化。结果对跨巴西优化可再生风能生产和发展的影响有影响。 </ p> </ abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-21026/'>《International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2018年第2期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共14页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Gilliland Joshua M.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Gilliland Joshua M.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Keim Barry D.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Keim Barry D.;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>Department of Geography and AnthropologyLouisiana State UniversityBaton Rouge LA USA;</p> <p>Department of Geography and AnthropologyLouisiana State UniversityBaton Rouge LA USA;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span><a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/1232.html" title="气候学">气候学;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Brazil&option=203" rel="nofollow">Brazil;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=GIS&option=203" rel="nofollow">GIS;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Mann–Kendall test&option=203" rel="nofollow">Mann–Kendall test;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=quantile regression&option=203" rel="nofollow">quantile regression;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=wind speed trend&option=203" rel="nofollow">wind speed trend;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：巴西;GIS;MANN-KENDALL测试;定量回归;风速趋势; 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Rodinamica and Naca 63230 and Naca 63215.</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  CL2013002843U1 </span> <span> . 2014-05-02</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：风速范围从6到10 m / s的低风速电动涡轮叶片包括轮廓线，轮廓线包括起音和输出边缘，压力和吸力表面，Retz区域，过渡区域和AE表面积。 Rodinamica和Naca 63230和Naca 63215。 </span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>4. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130416583310.html">MECHANISM OF TREND SURFACE WIND STEERING MODEL AIRCRAFT</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  RU142186U1 </span> <span> . 2014-06-20</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：趋势表面风向转向模型飞机的机理 </span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>5. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130489872943.html">Measurement of vertical wind and climatological flux</a> 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