Evaluation of summer precipitation from EURO‐CORDEX fine‐scale RCM simulations over Norway

Dyrrdal Anita Verpe; Stordal Frode; Lussana Cristian

摘要

ABSTRACT >Regional climate models represent a valuable tool in climate impact analyses. Their ability to accurately estimate current and future climate conditions is increasingly important. In Norway precipitation is of special interest. Heavy precipitation, particularly over short durations, is responsible for enormous damages to infrastructure such as roads and railways, hence information on a fine spatial and temporal scale is crucial. We evaluate the ability of seven regional climate model simulations of 0.11° resolution from the CORDEX ensemble in reproducing 3‐h and 24‐h accumulated summer precipitation characteristics in Norway. The two‐step evaluation includes comparison of modelled precipitation to gridded observation‐based datasets and to station measurements in terms of the following indices: summer maxima, summer wet event frequency, and total summer precipitation. We find a general overestimation by the models for all indices, with only few exceptions. Country‐wide spatial averages show, however, that simulated summer maxima are mainly within the uncertainty interval of the gridded reference dataset. This might also be true for summer wet event frequency, although the comparison to station measurements indicates that the positive bias is significant. We find the largest deviation between models in the evaluation of summer totals. The spatial distribution of the different precipitation indices is fairly well simulated, although the precipitation gradients evident in observation‐based datasets appear weak in the models. We believe the high spatial resolution improves the simulations of extreme precipitation in Norway, especially in areas of orographic enhancement. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract XMLNS =“http://www.wiley.com/namespaces/wiley”type =“main”xml：lang =“en”> <title type =“main”>抽象</ title> >区域气候模型代表气候影响分析中的宝贵工具。他们准确估计电流和未来气候条件的能力越来越重要。在挪威降水中具有特殊兴趣。大量降水，特别是在短持续时间内，负责道路和铁路等基础设施的巨大损害，因此有关细空间和时间量表的信息至关重要。我们评估了七个区域气候模型模拟0.11°分辨率的能力，从Cindex合奏中复制3-H和24-H累计挪威累计夏季降水特征。两步评估包括对基于网格观测的数据集的建模降水和站点测量的比较：夏季最大值，夏季潮湿事件频率和总夏季降水。我们发现所有索引的模型都会估计，只有少数例外情况。然而，全国范围的空间平均值显示，模拟夏季最大值主要是网格参考数据集的不确定性间隔。对于夏季潮湿事件频率也可能是如此，尽管与站测量的比较表明正偏差显着。我们在评估夏季总数中找到了模型之间的最大偏差。不同降水指数的空间分布是相当良好的模拟，尽管在基于观察的数据集中显而易见的降水梯度在模型中显得较弱。我们认为，高空间分辨率改善了挪威极端降水的模拟，尤其是在地形增强区域。</ p> </摘要> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-21026/'>《International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2018年第4期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共17页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Dyrrdal Anita Verpe&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Dyrrdal Anita Verpe;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Stordal Frode&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Stordal Frode;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Lussana Cristian&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Lussana Cristian;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>The Norwegian Meteorological InstituteOslo Norway;</p> <p>Department of GeosciencesUniversity of OsloOslo Norway;</p> <p>The Norwegian Meteorological InstituteOslo Norway;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span><a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/1232.html" title="气候学">气候学;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=euro‐CORDEX&option=203" rel="nofollow">euro‐CORDEX;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=summer precipitation&option=203" rel="nofollow">summer precipitation;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=sub‐daily precipitation&option=203" rel="nofollow">sub‐daily precipitation;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Norway&option=203" rel="nofollow">Norway;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=evaluation&option=203" rel="nofollow">evaluation;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=precipitation&option=203" rel="nofollow">precipitation;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=regional climate models&option=203" rel="nofollow">regional climate models;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=extremes&option=203" rel="nofollow">extremes;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：欧洲驯料;夏季降水;亚日降水;挪威;评估;降水;区域气候模型;极端; </div> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon" id="literaturereference" style="display:none"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent111">引文网络</h3> <div class="referencetab clearfix"> <ul id="referencedaohang"> <li dataid="referenceul">参考文献</li> <li dataid="citationul">引证文献</li> <li dataid="commonreferenceul">共引文献</li> <li dataid="commoncitationul">同被引文献</li> <li dataid="tworeferenceul">二级参考文献</li> <li dataid="twocitationul">二级引证文献</li> </ul> </div> <div class="reference_details" id="referenceList"> <ul id="referenceul"></ul> <ul id="citationul"></ul> <ul id="commonreferenceul"></ul> <ul id="commoncitationul"></ul> <ul id="tworeferenceul"></ul> <ul id="twocitationul"></ul> </div> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent66">相似文献</h3> <div class="similaritytab clearfix"> <ul> <li class="active" >外文文献</li> <li >中文文献</li> <li >专利</li> </ul> </div> <div class="similarity_details"> <ul > <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/journal-foreign-detail/0704023003038.html">Evaluation of summer precipitation from EURO‐CORDEX fine‐scale RCM simulations over Norway</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Dyrrdal Anita Verpe&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Dyrrdal Anita Verpe,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Stordal Frode&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Stordal Frode,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Lussana Cristian&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Lussana Cristian </a> <a href="/journal-foreign-21026/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor">International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society .</a> <span>2018</span><span>,第4期</span> </span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：挪威欧洲码头微尺RCM模拟评价夏季降水</span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>2. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/academic-journal-foreign_climate-dynamics_thesis/0204112152146.html">Daily precipitation statistics in a EURO-CORDEX RCM ensemble: added value of raw and bias-corrected high-resolution simulations</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Casanueva A.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Casanueva A.,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Kotlarski S.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Kotlarski S.,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Herrera S.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Herrera S.,</a> <a href="/journal-foreign-798/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor">Climate dynamics .</a> <span>2016</span><span>,第3a4期</span> </span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：EURO-CORDEX RCM集合中的每日降水统计：原始和经偏差校正的高分辨率模拟的附加值</span> </p> </li> <li> <div> <b>3. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/journal-foreign-detail/0704020649185.html">Evaluation of Precipitation From EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Simulations in a Small-Scale Mediterranean Site</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Giuseppe Mascaro&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Giuseppe Mascaro,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Francesco Viola&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Francesco Viola,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Roberto Deidda&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Roberto Deidda </a> <a href="/journal-foreign-34649/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_authcolor">Journal of Geophysical Research, D. 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