Dynamical Behavior and Bifurcation Analysis of the SIR Model with Continuous Treatment and State-Dependent Impulsive Control

摘要

In this study, we propose a state-dependent impulsive model describing the susceptible individuals-triggered interventions. We find that the model with susceptible individuals-guided impulsive interventions can exhibit very complex dynamical behaviors with rich biological meanings. We note that this formulated impulsive model has disease-free periodic solution, and we can investigate the threshold dynamics by defining the control reproduction number. We study the existence and stability of the disease-free periodic solution (DFPS) for R-0 < 1. Our results show that, even if the basic reproduction number R-0 > 1, the DFPS can still be stable when the threshold level of susceptible population S-T <= (S) over bar, indicating that with a proper chosen S-T, the state-dependent impulsive strategy can effectively control the development of the infectious disease arid eradicate the disease eventually. By employing the bifurcation theory, we investigate the bifurcation phenomenon near the DFPS with respect to some key parameters, and observe that a positive order-1 periodic solution can bifurcate from the DFPS via a transcritical bifurcation. By utilizing numerical simulation, we further explore the existence and stability of the positive order-k periodic solutions, and found the feasibility of stable positive order-1, order-2 and order-3 periodic solutions, that imply the existence of chaos. In particular, we find that there can be three positive order-1 periodic solutions simultaneously, in which one is stable and the other two are unstable. Our finding indicates that the comprehensive strategy combining continuous treatment with state-dependent impulsive vaccination and isolation plays a crucial role in controlling the prevalence arid further spread of the infectious diseases.