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A methodology for model-based greenhouse design: Part 4, economic evaluation of different greenhouse designs: a Spanish case.

机译:基于模型的温室设计的方法:第4部分,不同温室设计的经济评估:西班牙案例。

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An economic model was developed as a key component of a model-based method to design greenhouses for a broad range of climatic and economic conditions. This economic model was linked to an existing greenhouse climate-crop yield model to calculate the annual Net Financial Result (NFR) of a greenhouse. The aim of this study was to identify - among ten predefined design alternatives - the greenhouse with the highest annual NFR for tomato production under southern Spanish conditions. The basic designs were either the parral greenhouse, or a multi-tunnel, possibly fitted with any combination of heating, fogging and CO2 enrichment. Results demonstrated that the multi-tunnel, fitted with only a fogging system was most profitable, followed by the multi-tunnel with heating, CO2 enrichment and fogging. However, the difference in NFR between such a design and a simple parral was small with respect to the difference in investment. A sensitivity analysis of the NFR of the two technology extremes shows that tomato price, the fraction of marketable yield and the Photosynthetically Active Radiation (PAR) transmission of the cover had the largest bearing on NFR. With increasing technology level, the NFR depended less on outdoor climate and more on tomato price. This indicates that a low-tech greenhouse diminishes the risk of variations among price paths in different years, whereas a high-tech greenhouse covers better the "weather risk". The best design was also affected by climate management and the joint impact of climate modification techniques. These results demonstrated that a model-based design approach can cope with multi-factorial design aspects.
机译:开发了一种经济模型,作为基于模型的方法的关键组成部分,该方法可为各种气候和经济条件设计温室。该经济模型与现有的温室气候作物产量模型相关联,可以计算温室的年度净财务结果(NFR)。这项研究的目的是在西班牙南部条件下,在十个预定的设计替代方案中,确定番茄年度NFR最高的温室。基本设计要么是部分温室,要么是多隧道,可能装有加热,雾化和CO 2 浓缩的任意组合。结果表明,仅装有雾化系统的多通道是最有利的,其次是加热,CO 2 富集和雾化的多通道。但是,就投资的差异而言,这种设计与简单的部分之间的NFR差异很小。对两种技术极端情况下的NFR的敏感性分析表明,番茄价格,可销售单产的比例以及覆盖物的光合有效辐射(PAR)传输对NFR的影响最大。随着技术水平的提高,NFR越来越不依赖于室外气候,而更多地依赖于番茄价格。这表明低技术温室减少了不同年份价格路径之间变化的风险,而高技术温室则更好地覆盖了“天气风险”。最佳设计还受到气候管理和气候变化技术共同影响的影响。这些结果表明,基于模型的设计方法可以应对多因素设计方面的问题。

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