Use of a scenario-neutral approach to identify the key hydro-meteorological attributes that impact runoff from a natural catchment

摘要

Highlights?A scenario-neutral approach was used to assess catchment climate sensitivity.?Used an inverse approach to stochastically generate plausible climate conditions.?Plausible changes in 6 attributes of rainfall and PET were considered.?Key climate attributes identified for runoff reveal unique catchment properties.?The illustrated approach can enhance climate impact studies for specific systems.AbstractScenario-neutral approaches are being used increasingly for assessing the potential impact of climate change on water resource systems, as these approaches allow the performance of these systems to be evaluated independently of climate change projections. However, practical implementations of these approaches are still scarce, with a key limitation being the difficulty of generating a range of plausible future