Value of different precipitation data for flood prediction in an alpine catchment: A Bayesian approach

摘要

Graphical abstractDisplay OmittedHighlights?The value of three precipitation datasets is investigated in an alpine catchment.?We assess the effect of uncertain data on flood prediction with a Bayesian approach.?We model precipitation data uncertainty and model errors jointly with a bias term.?Introducing bias improves runoff predictions with all three precipitation datasets.?Using radar-based precipitation results in the best model performance.AbstractFlooding induced by heavy precipitation is one of the most