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The effects of global awareness on the spreading of epidemics in multiplex networks

机译:全球意识对多路复用网络流行病传播的影响

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摘要

It is increasingly recognized that understanding the complex interplay patterns between epidemic spreading and human behavioral is a key component of successful infection control efforts. In particular, individuals can obtain the information about epidemics and respond by altering their behaviors, which can affect the spreading dynamics as well. Besides, because the existence of herd-like behaviors, individuals are very easy to be influenced by the global awareness information. Here, in this paper, we propose a global awareness controlled spreading model (GACS) to explore the interplay between the coupled dynamical processes. Using the global microscopic Markov chain approach, we obtain the analytical results for the epidemic thresholds, which shows a high accuracy by comparison with lots of Monte Carlo simulations. Furthermore, considering other classical models used to describe the coupled dynamical processes, including the local awareness controlled contagion spreading (LACS) model, Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible-Unaware-Aware Unaware (SIS-UAU) model and the single layer occasion, we make a detailed comparisons between the GACS with them. Although the comparisons and results depend on the parameters each model has, the GACS model always shows a strong restrain effects on epidemic spreading process. Our results give us a better understanding of the coupled dynamical processes and highlights the importance of considering the spreading of global awareness in the control of epidemics. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:越来越认识到,了解疫情扩散和人类行为之间的复杂相互作用模式是成功感染控制努力的关键组成部分。特别是,个人可以通过改变其行为来获得有关流行病的信息,并影响可能影响扩散动态。此外,由于存在畜群的行为,个人很容易受到全球意识信息的影响。在此,在本文中,我们提出了一种全局意识控制扩展模型(GACS)来探讨耦合动力过程之间的相互作用。使用全局微观马尔可夫链条方法,我们获得了疫情阈值的分析结果,其通过与许多蒙特卡罗模拟相比,这表明了高精度。此外,考虑用于描述耦合动力过程的其他经典模型,包括本地感知控制传染蔓延(LACS)模型,易感感染易感 - 不明感知不了解(SIS-UAU)模型和单层的场合中,我们使与它们之间的GAC之间的详细比较。虽然比较和结果取决于每个模型的参数,但GACS模型始终表现出对疫情传播过程的强烈抑制效果。我们的结果让我们更好地了解耦合的动态过程,并突出了考虑对流行病控制的全球意识传播的重要性。 (c)2017年Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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