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N.I.C.E. turning nasty

机译:N.I.C.E.讨厌

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摘要

2008 has been a remarkable year for the copper market. 3-month copper prices were at or above 8,000 dollars/t from February to July and hit an all-time nominal high of 8,930 dollars/t on 2~(nd) July. Unfortunately, from these heights the adage "The bigger they come the harder they fall" has turned out to be the best description of the remainder of the year, with copper prices slipping below 7,000 dollars/t in Q3 before plummeting in Q4. Over the past month, 3-month prices on the LME have fallen towards 2,900 dollars t in the morning on 18~(th) December, having traded in a 2,900-3,370 dollars/t range since the last monitor. Looking ahead, with many copper semis companies reporting 20-30 percent declines in order volumes for their products, 2009 looks set to be one of the most difficult years since the early 1980s recession, if not all the way back to the 1930s. The N.I.C.E. times (Non-Inflationary, Continuous Expansion) enjoyed over the past decade have definitely ended, with nasty implications for the copper market.
机译:对于铜市场而言,2008年是非凡的一年。 2月至7月的3个月期铜价达到或超过8,000美元/吨,7月2日至7日创下历史新高8,930美元/吨。不幸的是,从这些高度来看,格言“它们越大,跌落就越困难”,已成为对今年剩余时间的最好描述,铜价在第三季度跌至7,000美元/吨以下,然后在第四季度暴跌。在过去的一个月中,LME的3个月价格在12月18日(上午)跌至2900美元/吨,自上次监测以来,交易价格为2900-3370美元/吨。展望未来,许多铜半成品公司报告其产品的订货量下降了20%至30%,2009年似乎将是自1980年代初期经济衰退以来最困难的年份之一,即使这种情况可以追溯到1930年代。 N.I.C.E.在过去的十年中,非通胀,持续扩张的时代已经结束,这对铜市场产生了令人讨厌的影响。

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