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Market Commentary

机译:市场评论

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摘要

Having briefly slowed in January, the copper market hit the accelerator once more in February raising all but the most bullish eyebrows along the way. Indeed, the start of this month saw copper prices stall in site of a new peak thanks to slower business in China, the US rate rise and a stronger dollar. Now that China's New Year is over, reports that South Korea may diversify some of its 200bn US dollars foreign reserve away from the greenback was enough to push the three month copper price to 3262 dollars/t -just 18 dollars/t shy of copper's all time price peak (in nominal terms) of 3280 dollars/t on January 17, 1989. A quick look at the latest Comex speculative open interest data (for February 15) confirms that this recent rally was probably fund driven. The longs increased from 23,121 lots to 33,232 lots, and though the short position also increased from 6,867 lots to 10,212 lots it was enough to take the net long position back over 20,000 lots. And given this week's activity and the amount of short covering that this latest run up prompted, Friday's figures are likely to be longer still.
机译:在1月份短暂放缓之后,2月份铜市场再次触及加速器,一路扬起,但除了最看涨的眉毛。的确,由于中国业务放缓,美国加息和美元走强,本月初铜价停滞在新高点。现在,中国的新年结束了,有报道称,韩国可能将其2000亿美元外汇储备中的一部分从美元中撤离,这足以将三个月期铜价格推高至3262美元/吨,仅比铜价低18美元/吨。 1989年1月17日的最高价格(名义价格)达到3280美元/吨。快速浏览一下Comex投机性未平仓头寸的最新数据(2月15日),这确认了最近的上涨可能是资金推动的。多头从23,121手增加到33,232手,尽管空头头寸也从6,867手增加到10,212手,但这足以使净多头头寸回到20,000手以上。考虑到本周的活动以及最近一次空头补仓的提示,周五的数据可能还会更长。

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