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False discovery rate estimation for frequentist pharmacovigilance signal detection methods.

机译:频繁药物警戒信号检测方法的错误发现率估计。

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摘要

Pharmacovigilance systems aim at early detection of adverse effects of marketed drugs. They maintain large spontaneous reporting databases for which several automatic signaling methods have been developed. One limit of those methods is that the decision rules for the signal generation are based on arbitrary thresholds. In this article, we propose a new signal-generation procedure. The decision criterion is formulated in terms of a critical region for the P-values resulting from the reporting odds ratio method as well as from the Fisher's exact test. For the latter, we also study the use of mid-P-values. The critical region is defined by the false discovery rate, which can be estimated by adapting the P-values mixture model based procedures to one-sided tests. The methodology is mainly illustrated with the location-based estimator procedure. It is studied through a large simulation study and applied to the French pharmacovigilance database.
机译:药物警戒系统旨在及早发现市售药物的不良反应。他们维护着大型的自发报告数据库,已经为其开发了几种自动信令方法。这些方法的局限性在于,信号生成的决策规则基于任意阈值。在本文中,我们提出了一种新的信号生成过程。根据报告比值比方法以及Fisher精确检验得出的P值的临界区域来制定决策标准。对于后者,我们还研究了中P值的使用。关键区域由错误发现率定义,可以通过使基于P值混合模型的过程适应单方面测试来估计错误发现率。该方法主要通过基于位置的估计程序进行说明。通过大型模拟研究对其进行了研究,并将其应用于法国药物警戒数据库。

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