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首页> 外文期刊>Geophysical Research Letters >Multi-decadal variability of sudden stratospheric warmings in an AOGCM
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Multi-decadal variability of sudden stratospheric warmings in an AOGCM

机译:AOGCM中平流层突然变暖的年代际变化

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摘要

The variability in the number of major sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) is analyzed in a multi-century simulation under constant forcing using a stratosphere resolving atmosphere-ocean general circulation model. A wavelet-analysis of the SSW time series identifies significantly enhanced power at a period of 52 years. The coherency of this signal with tropospheric and oceanic parameters is investigated. The strongest coherence is found with the North Atlantic ocean-atmosphere heat-flux from November to January. Here, an enhanced heat-flux from the ocean into the atmosphere is related to an increase in the number of SSWs. Furthermore, a correlation is found with Eurasian snow cover in October and the number of blockings in October/November. These results suggest that the multi-decadal variability is generated within the ocean-troposphere-stratosphere system. A two-way interaction of the North Atlantic and the atmosphere buffers and amplifies stratospheric anomalies, leading to a coupled multi-decadal mode.
机译:使用平流层解析大气-海洋总循环模型,在恒定强迫作用下的多世纪模拟中,分析了主要的平流层突然增温(SSWs)数量的变化。通过对SSW时间序列进行小波分析,可以确定52年内功率显着提高。研究了该信号与对流层和海洋参数的相干性。从11月到1月,北大西洋海洋-大气热通量具有最强的一致性。在这里,从海洋到大气的热通量增加与SSW数量的增加有关。此外,发现与10月的欧亚积雪和10月/ 11月的阻塞次数相关。这些结果表明,在海洋-对流层-平流层系统内产生了年代际变化。北大西洋与大气的双向相互作用缓冲并放大了平流层异常,从而导致了多年代际耦合模式。

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