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首页> 外文期刊>Geophysical Research Letters >Generalizing a nonlinear geophysical flood theory to medium-sized river networks
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Generalizing a nonlinear geophysical flood theory to medium-sized river networks

机译:将非线性地球物理洪水理论推广到中型河网

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摘要

The central hypothesis of a nonlinear geophysical flood theory postulates that, given space-time rainfall intensity for a rainfall-runoff event, solutions of coupled mass and momentum conservation differential equations governing runoff generation and transport in a self-similar river network produce spatial scaling, or a power law, relation between peak discharge and drainage area in the limit of large area. The excellent fit of a power law for the destructive flood event of June 2008 in the 32,400-km~2 Iowa River basin over four orders of magnitude variation in drainage areas supports the central hypothesis. The challenge of predicting observed scaling exponent and intercept from physical processes is explained. We show scaling in mean annual peak discharges, and briefly discuss that it is physically connected with scaling in multiple rainfall-runoff events. Scaling in peak discharges would hold in a non-stationary climate due to global warming but its slope and intercept would change.
机译:非线性地球物理洪水理论的中心假设是,假设降雨-径流事件的时空降雨强度,控制自相似河网中径流产生和输运的质量和动量守恒耦合微分方程的解会产生空间尺度,或幂律关系,在大面积的限制范围内,峰值排水面积与排水面积之间的关系。 2008年6月在爱荷华州流域32,400 km〜2流域发生四个数量级变化的破坏性洪水事件中,幂定律的极佳拟合支持了这一假说。解释了预测观察到的结垢指数和从物理过程中截获的挑战。我们显示了年均峰值排放量的换算,并简要讨论了它在多个降雨径流事件中与换算的关系。由于全球变暖,高峰流量的缩放将在非平稳气候中保持,但其斜率和截距将发生变化。

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