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Two large nodules on the scalp of a 60-year-old woman.

机译:一名60岁妇女的头皮上有两个大结节。

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Several adaptive design methods have been proposed to reestimate sample size using the observed treatment effect after an initial stage of a clinical trial while preserving the overall type I error at the time of the final analysis. One unfortunate property of the algorithms used in some methods is that they can be inverted to reveal the exact treatment effect at the interim analysis. We propose using a step function with an inverted U-shape of observed treatment difference for sample size reestimation to lessen the information on treatment effect revealed. This will be referred to as stepwise two-stage sample size adaptation. This method applies calculation methods used for group sequential designs. We minimize expected sample size among a class of these designs and compare efficiency with the fully optimized two-stage design, optimal two-stage group sequential design, and designs based on promising conditional power. The trade-off between efficiency versus the improved blinding of the interim treatment effect will be discussed. Copyright ? 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
机译:在临床试验的初始阶段之后,已经提出了几种自适应设计方法来使用观察到的治疗效果重新估计样本量,同时保留最终分析时的总体I型误差。在某些方法中使用的算法的一个不幸特性是,在进行中期分析时,它们可能会被反转以显示确切的治疗效果。我们建议使用观察到的治疗差异的倒U形的阶跃函数来重新估计样本大小,以减少有关所揭示治疗效果的信息。这将称为逐步两阶段样本大小调整。该方法适用于组顺序设计的计算方法。我们将这类设计中的预期样本量最小化,并将效率与完全优化的两阶段设计,最佳两阶段组顺序设计以及基于有前途的有条件能力的设计进行比较。将讨论效率与过渡处理效果的改善盲目性之间的权衡。版权? 2014约翰·威利父子有限公司

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