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Comparison of semiparametric maximum likelihood estimation and two-stage semiparametric estimation in copula models

机译:copula模型中半参数最大似然估计和两阶段半参数估计的比较

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摘要

We consider bivariate distributions that are specified in terms of a parametric copula function and nonparametric or semiparametric marginal distributions. The performance of two semiparametric estimation procedures based on censored data is discussed: maximum likelihood (ML) and two-stage pseudolikelihood (PML) estimation. The two-stage procedure involves less computation and it is of interest to see whether it is significantly less efficient than the full maximum likelihood approach. We also consider cases where the copula model is misspecified, in which case PML may be better. Extensive simulation studies demonstrate that in the absence of covariates, two-stage estimation is highly efficient and has significant robustness advantages for estimating marginal distributions. In some settings, involving covariates and a high degree of association between responses, ML is more efficient. For the estimation of association, PML does not offer an advantage.
机译:我们考虑根据参数copula函数和非参数或半参数边际分布指定的双变量分布。讨论了两种基于删失数据的半参数估计程序的性能:最大似然(ML)和两阶段伪似然(PML)估计。两阶段过程涉及较少的计算,因此值得关注的是,它是否比完全最大似然法的效率低得多。我们还考虑了copula模型指定不正确的情况,在这种情况下,PML可能更好。大量的模拟研究表明,在没有协变量的情况下,两阶段估计非常高效,并且在估计边际分布方面具有显着的鲁棒性优势。在某些情况下,包括协变量和响应之间的高度关联,ML更为有效。对于关联的估计,PML没有优势。

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