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Disentangling the drivers of change in Common Teal migration phenology over 50 years: land use vs. climate change effects

机译:剖析50年来常见的蓝绿色迁徙物候变化的驱动因素:土地利用与气候变化的影响

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A large body of research has accumulated on the impact of climate change on wildlife movements and distributions, especially for migratory birds. We used large ringing datasets for the Common Teal (Anas crecca) from the Camargue, southern France, to compare historic (from 1956-1975) spatiotemporal patterns of teal recovery with those seen in modern (2002-2012) years and assess whether the migration phenology of these ringed birds and their use of the Camargue as winter quarters has changed. Because teal are short-distance migrants (i.e., they breed in northern Europe and winter north of the Sahara), they would be predicted to delay their autumn migration in response to climate change. Conversely, ring recoveries showed that teal are now arriving much earlier: a stable 80 % of the recoveries were made locally in the Camargue each week between mid-November and late January in the modern dataset, whereas this percentage was only 53 % on average in the older data, and the proportion of recoveries madelocally in the Camargue gradually increased through the autumn and winter until late January. This suggests that Camargue habitats have changed markedly and become more attractive to teal compared to other potential wintering areas, consistent with knownchanges in local habitat management practices and improvements in the body condition of the birds. Despite the fact that global climate change will likely be one of the main drivers of wildlife distribution over the long term and at large spatial scales, local habitat management should not be overlooked, as it can increase habitat attractivity to migratory birds.
机译:关于气候变化对野生动植物尤其是候鸟的运动和分布的影响,已经进行了大量研究。我们使用了来自法国南部卡玛格(Camargue)的常见蓝绿色(Anas crecca)的大型铃声数据集,以比较历史性(从1956-1975年)蓝绿色恢复的时空模式与现代(2002-2012年)中看到的模式,并评估是否迁移这些环状鸟类的物候及其在冬季栖息地对Camargue的使用已发生变化。由于蓝绿色是短距离移民(即它们在北欧和撒哈拉以北的冬季繁殖),因此预计它们会响应气候变化而延迟秋季迁徙。相反,环采收率表明,蓝绿色现在已经到了更早:在现代数据集中,从11月中旬到1月下旬之间,每周有80%的回收率稳定地在Camargue本地进行,而在2002年,这一百分比平均仅为53%较早的数据以及在Camargue本地进行采收的比例在整个秋冬季至1月下旬逐渐增加。这表明,与其他潜在的越冬地区相比,Camargue的栖息地已经发生了显着变化,并且对蓝绿色更具吸引力,这与当地栖息地管理方法的已知变化以及鸟类身体状况的改善相一致。尽管全球气候变化很可能是长期和大规模的野生动植物分布的主要驱动力之一,但不应忽视对当地栖息地的管理,因为它可以增加栖息地对候鸟的吸引力。

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