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Nearly-Optimal Asset Allocation in Hybrid Stock Investment Models

机译:混合股票投资模型中的近乎最佳资产配置

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This work develops a class of stock-investment models that are hybrid in nature and involve continuous dynamics and discrete-event interventions. In lieu of the usual geometric Brownian motion formulation, hybrid geometric Brownian motion models are proposed, in which both the expected return and the volatility depend on a finite-state Markov chain. Our objective is to find nearly-optimal asset allocation strategies so as to maximize the expected returns. The use of the Markov chain stems from the motivation of capturing the market trends as well as various economic factors. To incorporate these economic factors into the models, the underlying Markov chain inevitably has a large state space. To reduce the complexity, a hierarchical approach is suggested, which leads to singularly-perturbed switching diffusion processes. By aggregating the states of the Markov chains in each weakly irreducible class into a single state, limit switching diffusion processes are obtained. Using such asymptotic properties, nearly-optimal asset allocation policies are developed.
机译:这项工作开发了本质上是混合的,涉及连续动态和离散事件干预的一类股票投资模型。代替通常的几何布朗运动公式,提出了混合几何布朗运动模型,其中期望收益率和波动率均取决于有限状态马尔可夫链。我们的目标是找到接近最佳的资产配置策略,以使预期收益最大化。马尔可夫链的使用源于捕捉市场趋势以及各种经济因素的动机。为了将这些经济因素纳入模型,潜在的马尔可夫链不可避免地具有较大的状态空间。为了降低复杂度,提出了一种分级方法,该方法导致奇异的开关扩散过程。通过将每个弱不可约类中的马尔可夫链的状态汇总为一个状态,可以得到极限切换扩散过程。利用这种渐近性质,开发了近乎最优的资产分配策略。

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