Vulnerability Analysis in Critical Infrastructure Protection

摘要

This paper describes a novel approach to critical infrastructure vulnerability analysis and risk assessment that applies to sectors that can be represented as networks. The method -called model-based vulnerability analysis (MBVA) - is based on a combination of scale-free network theory and fault-tree/event-tree analysis. MBVA incorporates two new optimal resource allocation equations: one for minimizing fault occurrences, and a second equation for minimizing financial risk. The method has been successfully used to identify vulnerabilities in sectors as diverse as water, energy, telecommunications, and power grids.