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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of international development: The journal of the development studies association >HOW DOES POLITICAL VIOLENCE AFFECT CONFIDENCE IN A LOCAL CURRENCY? EVIDENCE FROM EGYPT
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HOW DOES POLITICAL VIOLENCE AFFECT CONFIDENCE IN A LOCAL CURRENCY? EVIDENCE FROM EGYPT

机译:政治暴力在本地货币中如何影响自信心?来自埃及的证据

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摘要

In this paper we estimate a time-series model of the financial asset portfolio shares in Egypt, distinguishing between assets of varying degrees of liquidity and between domestic currency and foreign currency deposits. While financial liberalization and financial stability are found to have encouraged domestic residents to increase the share of their portfolio composed of domestic currency assets, these effects have been offset by an increase in the number of violent political incidents arising from conflict between radical Islamic groups and the Egyptian state. Greater violence has led to lower domestic asset demand and substitution into foreign currency deposits. The link between political events and financial outcomes provides a rationale for economic policy interventions by Bretton Woods institutions in response to increases in political instability.
机译:在本文中,我们估计了埃及金融资产投资组合股票的时间序列模型,区分了不同程度的流动性资产与本币和外币存款。虽然发现金融自由化和金融稳定鼓励国内居民增加其本币资产组成的投资组合的份额,但这些影响已被激进伊斯兰团体与伊斯兰教派之间的冲突引起的暴力政治事件的数量增加所抵消。埃及国家。暴力加剧导致国内资产需求下降,并替代了外币存款。政治事件与财务成果之间的联系为布雷顿森林体系机构为应对政治动荡加剧而采取的经济政策干预措施提供了理论依据。

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