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On the Analysis of a Cloud Seeding Dataset over Tasmania

机译:塔斯马尼亚州云播种数据集的分析

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摘要

An analysis of cloud seeding activity for the period 1960-2005 over a hydroelectric catchment (target) area located in central Tasmania, Australia, is presented. The analysis is performed using a double ratio on monthly area-averaged rainfall for themonths of May-October. Results indicate that increases in monthly precipitation are observed within the target area relative to nearby controls during periods of cloud seeding activity. Ten independent tests were performed and all double ratios found areabove unity with values that range from 5% to 14%. Nine out of 10 confidence intervals are entirely above unity and overlap in the range of 6%—11%. Nine tests obtain levels of significance >0.05 level. If the Bonferroni adjustment is made to account for multiple comparisons, six tests are found to be significant at the adjusted alpha level. Further field measurements of the cloud microphysics over this region are needed to provide a physical basis for these statistical results.
机译:介绍了对位于澳大利亚塔斯马尼亚州中部的一个水力发电集水区(目标)的1960-2005年期间云播种活动的分析。使用五月至十月月份平均月降雨量的双倍比率进行分析。结果表明,在播云活动期间,相对于附近的对照组,在目标区域内观察到月降水量增加。进行了十次独立测试,发现所有双重比率均在5%至14%范围内。 10个置信区间中有9个完全高于1,并且在6%至11%的范围内重叠。九项测试的显着性水平> 0.05。如果进行Bonferroni调整以考虑多次比较,则发现在调整后的alpha级别上有六项测试很重要。需要对该区域进行云微观物理学的进一步野外测量,以便为这些统计结果提供物理基础。

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