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Large-scale Habitat Association Modeling of the Endangered Korean Ratsnake (Elaphe schrenckii)

机译:濒临灭绝的朝鲜响尾蛇(Elaphe schrenckii)的大型人居协会建模

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We used radio-telemetric monitoring and statistical models to investigate habitat associations of the endangered Korean ratsnake (Elaphe schrenckii) in a mountain region of Woraksan National Park based on the data collected from July 2007 to April 2009. We evaluated a priori models at landscape scales that incorporated natural and artificial variables to explain ratsnake presence and absence using geographic information system (GIS) databases. We generated models using logistic regression combined with Akaike's information criterion (AIC) to determine which variables are most important. The best-ranked model predicted that the ratsnakes are likely to use areas with high annual solar radiation and that they are closer to streams, coniferous and mixed forests, farmland, houses, and barren ground. We next evaluated the model by applying it to an internal and an external dataset, where the model showed high power of prediction and discrimination on the internal dataset with estimated mean probability of 94% while showing suitability as a predictive model on the external dataset with 64% probability. The present study suggests that a created habitat model can provide valuable contributions to conservation and management efforts directed towards ratsnake populations.
机译:我们使用无线电遥测监测和统计模型,根据2007年7月至2009年4月收集的数据,调查了沃拉山国家公园山区濒危的韩国响尾蛇(Elaphe schrenckii)的栖息地关联。我们在景观尺度上评估了先验模型结合了自然变量和人工变量,使用地理信息系统(GIS)数据库解释了响尾蛇的存在与否。我们使用逻辑回归结合Akaike的信息标准(AIC)生成了模型,以确定哪些变量最重要。排名最高的模型预测,响尾蛇可能会使用年太阳辐射高的区域,并且它们更接近溪流,针叶林和混交林,农田,房屋和贫瘠的土地。接下来,我们通过将模型应用于内部和外部数据集来评估该模型,其中该模型在内部数据集上显示出较高的预测和辨别力,估计的平均概率为94%,而在外部数据集上显示出作为预测模型的适用性为64 %概率。本研究表明,建立的栖息地模型可以为针对响尾蛇种群的保护和管理工作提供宝贵的贡献。

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