Global end use demand for textile fibres will grow by 3.9% in 2011 following increases of 7.4% in 2010 and 0.4% in 2009. The fastest growth will be a 5.4% increase in man-made fibres. Cotton demand will increase by only 1.6% and wool will remain static. As a result of these trends, the share of man-made fibres will grow from 63.4% to 64.2% but cotton's share will fall to 34.1%. Geographically, 60.9% of end use demand in 2010 was in developing countries, and in 2011 this share is set to rise to 61.8% as demand in these countries increases by 5.6%. Almost all of the increase will be in the form of a 7.1% rise in non-cotton fibre—mainly synthetic. As a result, non-cotton fibres will account for 72.7% of demand in these countries. A further regional breakdown shows that demand in Asian developing countries will rise by 6.7% in 2011. As a result, the share of these countries in global demand will increase by 1.3 percentage points to 49.3%. But in developing countries in Africa, the Middle East and Europe, and in Latin America and the Caribbean, growth will be slower and demand will be less than in 2007. In industrialised countries, cotton will account for 47.1% of demand in 2011—much higher than its 34.1% share of global demand, indicating a preference for cotton clothing in these countries. North America will continue to account for the largest share of demand in industrialised countries. But demand will fall by 0.4% and North America's share of global demand will decline by 0.8 percentage points to 16.6%. The fall in demand will be due to an 8.3% decrease in non-cotton fibres. Cotton demand, on the other hand, will increase by 7.5% to 6.6 mn tons—its highest level ever—and will account for 54.3% of total fibre demand in the region. Demand in Western Europe will increase by 6.0%, reflecting a rise in non-cotton fibre demand, while demand in industrialised countries in Asia and Oceania will fall by 1.8% owing to a drop in cotton. In Central and Eastern Europe, demand will decline by 1.2% due to a 19.5% plunge in cotton and the region's share of global demand will fall to 3.9%—its lowest level ever. Taking a longer-term view, global end use demand for textile fibres is forecast to grow by 3.4% per annum over the ten years to 2020, to reach 98.6 mn tons. Within the total, cotton demand will grow by 2.0% per annum but non-cotton fibre demand will grow at over twice that rate—by 4.1% per annum. As a result, the share of cotton will drop to barely 30% by 2020 compared with 35% in 2010.
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