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Analysts: speculators did not contribute to 2007-2008 oil price surge.

机译:分析师:投机商没有为2007-2008年的油价上涨做出贡献。

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A report by two economists, Michael Plante and Mine Yucel, explained the cause of the tripling of oil prices between early 2007 and mid-2008 was not the result of speculators pushing prices above physical supply and demand fundamentals, as the drastic increase in the price of crude happened during well-functioning futures and physical markets. "The data are consistent with how a well-functioning futures market would behave, initially when there is tightness in the market and later when there is considerable slack due to the global recession. Futures market traders, therefore, seem to have been routine market participants." They added to the dismissal of speculator involvement by saying, "The behavior of inventories was also consistent with the reality of a tight market."
机译:两位经济学家Michael Plante和Mine Yucel的报告解释说,在2007年初至2008年中期之间,油价上涨了三倍,其原因并不是投机者将价格推升至高于实际供需基本面,因为价格急剧上涨运作良好的期货和实物市场中发生的原油价格上涨。 “数据与运作良好的期货市场的行为一致,最初是在市场紧缩时出现,然后是由于全球经济衰退而出现相当宽松的情况。因此,期货市场交易员似乎是例行的市场参与者。 。”他们补充说,“库存行为也符合市场紧缩的现实。”

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